MACD prediction vs outcome — Micro E mini Nasdaq 100, 1 minute chart, September 28, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 28, 2026, 6:25 AM to 6:54 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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On September 28, 2026 at 6:25 AM ET, MACD on the Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 1 minute chart read -14.714. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 6:54 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-13.61-5.3812.848Sep 28, 6:25 AM ET6:54 AM ET
Projected MACD path, 30 bars from 6:25 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-13.61-5.3812.848Sep 28, 6:25 AM ET6:54 AM ET
Recorded MACD values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 6:25 AM ET-14.714
Projected value at 6:54 AM ET0.592966
Actual value at 6:54 AM ET-2.89479
Projected change across the window+15.307
Actual change across the window+11.8192
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.30×

Reading this window

The projection called for MACD to rise across the window, and it rose. The projection overshot: it called for 1.30 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 12 (6:36 AM ET), where they sat 0.00246608 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (6:25 AM ET) with a gap of 11.18. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 10 (6:35 AM ET), a move of +2.10738. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
16:26 AM-3.2754-14.2075-10.9321
66:31 AM-2.10086-10.0356-7.93473
126:37 AM-1.152830.672024+1.82485
186:43 AM-0.25541-0.201951+0.0534585
246:49 AM0.387581-0.0977528-0.485334
296:54 AM0.592966-2.89479-3.48776

About MACD on a 1 minute chart

MACD tracks the distance between two exponential moving averages of price; the line above moves as that distance widens or narrows. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

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MetaTrader 5 AI assistant for Micro Nasdaq 100 futures A general chatbot only sees a screenshot. The PredictIndicators chat indicator reads your live MNQ chart in NinjaTrader 8 or MT5, including every indicator you have open and the predicted candles. ChatGPT for NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.