MACD prediction vs outcome — Micro E mini Nasdaq 100, 1 minute chart, September 27, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 27, 2026, 10:05 PM to 10:34 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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Educational purposes only — predictions are not certainties or financial advice.

On September 27, 2026 at 10:05 PM ET, MACD on the Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 1 minute chart read -17.0059. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 10:34 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-15.67-5.7144.24Sep 27, 10:05 PM ET10:34 PM ET
Projected MACD path, 30 bars from 10:05 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-15.67-5.7144.24Sep 27, 10:05 PM ET10:34 PM ET
Recorded MACD values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:05 PM ET-17.0059
Projected value at 10:34 PM ET-0.958463
Actual value at 10:34 PM ET5.37051
Projected change across the window+16.0475
Actual change across the window+22.3765
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.72×

Reading this window

The projection called for MACD to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.72 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 4 (10:08 PM ET), where they sat 0.256173 apart, and furthest at bar 6 (10:11 PM ET) with a gap of 13.845. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 6 (10:11 PM ET), a move of +6.39878. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:06 PM-13.552-16.2235-2.67144
610:11 PM-10.32233.52274+13.845
1210:17 PM-6.715584.43857+11.1542
1810:23 PM-3.970285.02164+8.99192
2410:29 PM-1.596995.09888+6.69587
2910:34 PM-0.9584635.37051+6.32897

About MACD on a 1 minute chart

MACD tracks the distance between two exponential moving averages of price; the line above moves as that distance widens or narrows. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

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MetaTrader AI indicator accuracy for Micro Nasdaq 100 futures A prediction is an estimate, not a certainty. PredictIndicators publishes its predicted values next to what the market actually did, so they can be checked before relying on them. Predictions vs what happened →

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.