MACD prediction vs outcome — Micro E mini Nasdaq 100, 1 minute chart, September 23, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 23, 2026, 11:40 AM to 12:09 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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Educational purposes only — predictions are not certainties or financial advice.

On September 23, 2026 at 11:40 AM ET, MACD on the Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 1 minute chart read -17.7732. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:09 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-17.93-9.981-2.034Sep 23, 11:40 AM ET12:09 PM ET
Projected MACD path, 30 bars from 11:40 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-17.93-9.981-2.034Sep 23, 11:40 AM ET12:09 PM ET
Recorded MACD values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:40 AM ET-17.7732
Projected value at 12:09 PM ET-0.966116
Actual value at 12:09 PM ET-6.2098
Projected change across the window+16.8071
Actual change across the window+11.5634
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading25 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.45×

Reading this window

The projection called for MACD to rise across the window, and it rose. The projection overshot: it called for 1.45 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 25 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 24 (12:03 PM ET), where they sat 1.70483 apart, and furthest at bar 3 (11:43 AM ET) with a gap of 12.5888. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 19 (11:59 AM ET), a move of +1.86944. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:41 AM-6.41214-18.0959-11.6837
611:46 AM-5.77627-17.5106-11.7343
1211:52 AM-4.19245-14.8701-10.6777
1811:58 AM-2.75224-10.2105-7.45828
2412:04 PM-1.91523-3.99538-2.08015
2912:09 PM-0.966116-6.2098-5.24368

About MACD on a 1 minute chart

MACD tracks the distance between two exponential moving averages of price; the line above moves as that distance widens or narrows. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

Download MetaTrader artificial intelligence MACD Yes. Alongside the regular MACD, PredictIndicators shows where the MACD is predicted to go next on MNQ, updated as each bar closes, in NinjaTrader 8 and MT5. MACD indicator for NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 →

Is there an indicator that predicts the next MNQ candle? Yes. On a NinjaTrader 8 or MT5 MNQ chart, PredictIndicators shows the predicted open, high, low and close of the coming bars to the right of the last bar. Next candle prediction indicator →

NT8 compare predictions with actual candles A prediction is an estimate, not a certainty. PredictIndicators publishes its predicted values next to what the market actually did, so they can be checked before relying on them. Predictions vs what happened →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.