MACD prediction vs outcome — Micro E mini Nasdaq 100, 1 minute chart, September 16, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 16, 2026, 1:58 PM to 2:27 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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On September 16, 2026 at 1:58 PM ET, MACD on the Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 1 minute chart read 17.8454. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:27 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

1.4669.8318.19Sep 16, 1:58 PM ET2:27 PM ET
Projected MACD path, 30 bars from 1:58 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

1.4669.8318.19Sep 16, 1:58 PM ET2:27 PM ET
Recorded MACD values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:58 PM ET17.8454
Projected value at 2:27 PM ET1.3526
Actual value at 2:27 PM ET2.89595
Projected change across the window-16.4928
Actual change across the window-14.9494
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading24 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.10×

Reading this window

The projection called for MACD to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.10 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 24 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 17 (2:14 PM ET), where they sat 0.123782 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (1:58 PM ET) with a gap of 14.9978. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 14 (2:12 PM ET), a move of -2.45816. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:59 PM3.674517.4929+13.8184
62:04 PM5.1280119.3169+14.1889
122:10 PM4.4863810.3381+5.8517
182:16 PM3.192091.74837-1.44372
242:22 PM2.416241.74321-0.673026
292:27 PM1.35262.89595+1.54335

About MACD on a 1 minute chart

MACD tracks the distance between two exponential moving averages of price; the line above moves as that distance widens or narrows. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

Prediction MACD for NinjaTrader Yes. Alongside the regular MACD, PredictIndicators shows where the MACD is predicted to go next on MNQ, updated as each bar closes, in NinjaTrader 8 and MT5. MACD indicator for NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 →

NinjaTrader future stochastic K and D PredictIndicators draws the predicted next 30 candles of MNQ on your NinjaTrader 8 chart, to the right of the last bar, and updates them in real time. They are predictions, not certainties. NinjaTrader 8 price prediction indicator →

NT8 AI explains trend strength for MNQ The PredictIndicators chat indicator runs live on NinjaTrader 8 and MetaTrader 5 charts: ask about the MNQ chart, the predicted candles and the indicators, and the answer appears on the chart. AI chat indicator →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.