MACD prediction vs outcome — Micro E mini Nasdaq 100, 1 minute chart, September 16, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 16, 2026, 1:46 PM to 2:15 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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On September 16, 2026 at 1:46 PM ET, MACD on the Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 1 minute chart read 8.32758. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:15 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-7.672-0.17587.321Sep 16, 1:46 PM ET2:15 PM ET
Projected MACD path, 30 bars from 1:46 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-7.672-0.17587.321Sep 16, 1:46 PM ET2:15 PM ET
Recorded MACD values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:46 PM ET8.32758
Projected value at 2:15 PM ET-2.28898
Actual value at 2:15 PM ET2.60389
Projected change across the window-10.6166
Actual change across the window-5.72369
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.85×

Reading this window

The projection called for MACD to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.85 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 28 (2:13 PM ET), where they sat 4.36222 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (1:46 PM ET) with a gap of 16.5281. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 1 (1:47 PM ET), a move of -2.45816. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:47 PM-8.517735.86943+14.3872
61:52 PM-8.066150.822889+8.88904
121:58 PM-6.322551.75438+8.07693
182:04 PM-4.316582.44978+6.76635
242:10 PM-3.057263.17924+6.2365
292:15 PM-2.288982.60389+4.89287

About MACD on a 1 minute chart

MACD tracks the distance between two exponential moving averages of price; the line above moves as that distance widens or narrows. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

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NT8 historical indicator prediction accuracy for intraday futures A prediction is an estimate, not a certainty. PredictIndicators publishes its predicted values next to what the market actually did, so they can be checked before relying on them. Predictions vs what happened →

Next candle prediction indicator for MNQ Yes. On a NinjaTrader 8 or MT5 MNQ chart, PredictIndicators shows the predicted open, high, low and close of the coming bars to the right of the last bar. Next candle prediction indicator →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.