MACD prediction vs outcome — Micro E mini Nasdaq 100, 1 minute chart, September 11, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 11, 2026, 1:02 PM to 1:31 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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Educational purposes only — predictions are not certainties or financial advice.

On September 11, 2026 at 1:02 PM ET, MACD on the Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 1 minute chart read 33.7751. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 1:31 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

0.891416.4532Sep 11, 1:02 PM ET1:31 PM ET
Projected MACD path, 30 bars from 1:02 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

0.891416.4532Sep 11, 1:02 PM ET1:31 PM ET
Recorded MACD values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:02 PM ET33.7751
Projected value at 1:31 PM ET0.346139
Actual value at 1:31 PM ET-1.19777
Projected change across the window-33.429
Actual change across the window-34.9729
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.96×

Reading this window

The projection called for MACD to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.96 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 28 (1:29 PM ET), where they sat 0.0216238 apart, and furthest at bar 1 (1:03 PM ET) with a gap of 31.4837. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 11 (1:13 PM ET), a move of -2.60176. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:03 PM2.607834.0915+31.4837
61:08 PM2.507926.9431+24.4352
121:14 PM1.9555415.0602+13.1047
181:20 PM1.529987.97485+6.44486
241:26 PM1.033556.26184+5.22829
291:31 PM0.346139-1.19777-1.54391

About MACD on a 1 minute chart

MACD tracks the distance between two exponential moving averages of price; the line above moves as that distance widens or narrows. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

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MetaTrader why do AI indicator predictions change for Micro Nasdaq 100 futures A prediction is an estimate, not a certainty. PredictIndicators publishes its predicted values next to what the market actually did, so they can be checked before relying on them. Predictions vs what happened →

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.