MACD prediction vs outcome — Micro E mini Nasdaq 100, 1 minute chart, September 8, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 8, 2026, 4:17 PM to 4:46 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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Educational purposes only — predictions are not certainties or financial advice.

On September 8, 2026 at 4:17 PM ET, MACD on the Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 1 minute chart read -9.21938. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 4:46 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-8.29-1.3685.553Sep 8, 4:17 PM ET4:46 PM ET
Projected MACD path, 30 bars from 4:17 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-8.29-1.3685.553Sep 8, 4:17 PM ET4:46 PM ET
Recorded MACD values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 4:17 PM ET-9.21938
Projected value at 4:46 PM ET-0.227185
Actual value at 4:46 PM ET6.48308
Projected change across the window+8.99219
Actual change across the window+15.7025
Bars moving the same direction23 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.57×

Reading this window

The projection called for MACD to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.57 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 79% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 15 (4:31 PM ET), where they sat 0.0591066 apart, and furthest at bar 29 (4:46 PM ET) with a gap of 6.71027. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 8 (4:25 PM ET), a move of +1.6524. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
14:18 PM-2.92027-8.77749-5.85722
64:23 PM-2.44151-6.83716-4.39566
124:29 PM-1.483540.195359+1.6789
184:35 PM-0.775327-1.22718-0.451857
244:41 PM-0.4036052.85722+3.26083
294:46 PM-0.2271856.48308+6.71027

About MACD on a 1 minute chart

MACD tracks the distance between two exponential moving averages of price; the line above moves as that distance widens or narrows. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

MACD crossover prediction MetaTrader 5 Yes. Alongside the regular MACD, PredictIndicators shows where the MACD is predicted to go next on MNQ, updated as each bar closes, in NinjaTrader 8 and MT5. MACD indicator for NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 →

How to install a prediction indicator in MT5 for MNQ In NinjaTrader 8 import the zip with Tools → Import → NinjaScript Add On; in MetaTrader 5 run the setup. Then add PredictIndicators to your MNQ chart. How to install →

MetaTrader accuracy score on trading chart for MNQ A prediction is an estimate, not a certainty. PredictIndicators publishes its predicted values next to what the market actually did, so they can be checked before relying on them. Predictions vs what happened →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.