MACD prediction vs outcome — Micro E mini Nasdaq 100, 1 minute chart, September 2, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 2, 2026, 4:27 PM to 4:56 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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On September 2, 2026 at 4:27 PM ET, MACD on the Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 1 minute chart read -6.70145. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 4:56 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-5.973-0.071595.83Sep 2, 4:27 PM ET4:56 PM ET
Projected MACD path, 30 bars from 4:27 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-5.973-0.071595.83Sep 2, 4:27 PM ET4:56 PM ET
Recorded MACD values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 4:27 PM ET-6.70145
Projected value at 4:56 PM ET-0.308658
Actual value at 4:56 PM ET-2.90008
Projected change across the window+6.39279
Actual change across the window+3.80137
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.68×

Reading this window

The projection called for MACD to rise across the window, and it rose. The projection overshot: it called for 1.68 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 1 (4:27 PM ET), where they sat 0.0645157 apart, and furthest at bar 18 (4:45 PM ET) with a gap of 8.15786. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 29 (4:56 PM ET), a move of -2.05144. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
14:28 PM-6.23206-6.30321-0.0711449
64:33 PM-4.02866-2.28425+1.74441
124:39 PM-2.51681.89129+4.40809
184:45 PM-1.535086.62277+8.15786
244:51 PM-0.61983.76284+4.38264
294:56 PM-0.308658-2.90008-2.59142

About MACD on a 1 minute chart

MACD tracks the distance between two exponential moving averages of price; the line above moves as that distance widens or narrows. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

Chart reader MACD for MT5 PredictIndicators draws the predicted MACD for MNQ up to 30 bars ahead on NinjaTrader 8 and MetaTrader 5 charts, next to the MACD you already use. MACD indicator for NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 →

NinjaTrader AI trading indicator for Micro Nasdaq 100 futures Yes. PredictIndicators runs inside NinjaTrader 8: the predicted MNQ candles and the predicted indicators sit on your own chart, next to the indicators you already use. NinjaTrader 8 price prediction indicator →

NT8 prediction accuracy tracking for Micro Nasdaq 100 futures A prediction is an estimate, not a certainty. PredictIndicators publishes its predicted values next to what the market actually did, so they can be checked before relying on them. Predictions vs what happened →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.