MACD prediction vs outcome — BTCUSD, 1 minute chart, September 27, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 27, 2026, 1:12 PM to 1:41 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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On September 27, 2026 at 1:12 PM ET, MACD on the BTCUSD 1 minute chart read -55.9429. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 1:41 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-59.61-27.784.051Sep 27, 1:12 PM ET1:41 PM ET
Projected MACD path, 30 bars from 1:12 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-59.61-27.784.051Sep 27, 1:12 PM ET1:41 PM ET
Recorded MACD values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:12 PM ET-55.9429
Projected value at 1:41 PM ET-4.0376
Actual value at 1:41 PM ET8.32651
Projected change across the window+51.9053
Actual change across the window+64.2694
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading24 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.81×

Reading this window

The projection called for MACD to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.81 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 24 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 20 (1:31 PM ET), where they sat 0.230674 apart, and furthest at bar 8 (1:20 PM ET) with a gap of 50.0697. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 14 (1:26 PM ET), a move of +13.9778. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:13 PM-16.5964-54.2314-37.635
61:18 PM-15.1328-58.1388-43.006
121:24 PM-11.1185-55.118-43.9994
181:30 PM-7.04839-10.6744-3.62599
241:36 PM-4.663650.00901607+4.67266
291:41 PM-4.03768.32651+12.3641

About MACD on a 1 minute chart

MACD tracks the distance between two exponential moving averages of price; the line above moves as that distance widens or narrows. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

Buy AI MACD for NinjaTrader PredictIndicators draws the predicted MACD for BTCUSD up to 30 bars ahead on NinjaTrader 8 and MetaTrader 5 charts, next to the MACD you already use. MACD indicator for NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 →

How to install an indicator in MetaTrader 5 for Bitcoin Download PredictIndicators for your platform, activate the 3 day free licence and add it to your BTCUSD chart: the predicted candles appear right away. How to install →

NT8 can AI predict future indicator values accurately for BTCUSD A prediction is an estimate, not a certainty. PredictIndicators publishes its predicted values next to what the market actually did, so they can be checked before relying on them. Predictions vs what happened →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.