MACD prediction vs outcome — BTCUSD, 1 minute chart, September 27, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 27, 2026, 1:03 PM to 1:32 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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Educational purposes only — predictions are not certainties or financial advice.

On September 27, 2026 at 1:03 PM ET, MACD on the BTCUSD 1 minute chart read -62.7731. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 1:32 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-58.44-26.166.111Sep 27, 1:03 PM ET1:32 PM ET
Projected MACD path, 30 bars from 1:03 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-58.44-26.166.111Sep 27, 1:03 PM ET1:32 PM ET
Recorded MACD values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:03 PM ET-62.7731
Projected value at 1:32 PM ET-2.61744
Actual value at 1:32 PM ET4.50741
Projected change across the window+60.1557
Actual change across the window+67.2805
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.89×

Reading this window

The projection called for MACD to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.89 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 11 (1:13 PM ET), where they sat 0.697215 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (1:03 PM ET) with a gap of 53.2558. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 5 (1:08 PM ET), a move of +13.9778. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:04 PM-7.91346-60.5787-52.6652
61:09 PM-7.08223-27.301-20.2188
121:15 PM-6.5753-3.39334+3.18196
181:21 PM-4.593815.15131+9.74512
241:27 PM-4.135228.51974+12.655
291:32 PM-2.617444.50741+7.12485

About MACD on a 1 minute chart

MACD tracks the distance between two exponential moving averages of price; the line above moves as that distance widens or narrows. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

Free trial AI MACD for NinjaTrader 8 Yes. Alongside the regular MACD, PredictIndicators shows where the MACD is predicted to go next on BTCUSD, updated as each bar closes, in NinjaTrader 8 and MT5. MACD indicator for NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 →

NinjaTrader AI futures technical indicators PredictIndicators draws the predicted next 30 candles of BTCUSD on your NinjaTrader 8 chart, to the right of the last bar, and updates them in real time. They are predictions, not certainties. NinjaTrader 8 price prediction indicator →

MT5 AI prediction performance chart A prediction is an estimate, not a certainty. PredictIndicators publishes its predicted values next to what the market actually did, so they can be checked before relying on them. Predictions vs what happened →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.