MACD prediction vs outcome — BTCUSD, 1 minute chart, September 27, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 27, 2026, 12:59 PM to 1:28 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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Educational purposes only — predictions are not certainties or financial advice.

On September 27, 2026 at 12:59 PM ET, MACD on the BTCUSD 1 minute chart read -48.7192. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 1:28 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-45.22-19.146.943Sep 27, 12:59 PM ET1:28 PM ET
Projected MACD path, 30 bars from 12:59 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-45.22-19.146.943Sep 27, 12:59 PM ET1:28 PM ET
Recorded MACD values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:59 PM ET-48.7192
Projected value at 1:28 PM ET-1.14523
Actual value at 1:28 PM ET2.026
Projected change across the window+47.574
Actual change across the window+50.7452
Bars moving the same direction22 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.94×

Reading this window

The projection called for MACD to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.94 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 76% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 6 (1:04 PM ET), where they sat 0.125876 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (12:59 PM ET) with a gap of 29.7962. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 1 (1:00 PM ET), a move of +13.9778. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:00 PM-16.8811-34.7414-17.8604
61:05 PM-9.4792-7.34371+2.13549
121:11 PM-4.850241.91965+6.76989
181:17 PM-1.695110.4459+12.141
241:23 PM-1.532976.83749+8.37046
291:28 PM-1.145232.026+3.17124

About MACD on a 1 minute chart

MACD tracks the distance between two exponential moving averages of price; the line above moves as that distance widens or narrows. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

See live indicator predictions on PredictIndicators.ai →

Questions traders ask

Free trial NinjaTrader predictive MACD Yes. Alongside the regular MACD, PredictIndicators shows where the MACD is predicted to go next on BTCUSD, updated as each bar closes, in NinjaTrader 8 and MT5. MACD indicator for NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 →

NinjaTrader Stochastics prediction indicator for BTCUSD PredictIndicators draws the predicted next 30 candles of BTCUSD on your NinjaTrader 8 chart, to the right of the last bar, and updates them in real time. They are predictions, not certainties. NinjaTrader 8 price prediction indicator →

How do I add the BTCUSD prediction indicator in NinjaTrader 8? In NinjaTrader 8 import the zip with Tools → Import → NinjaScript Add On; in MetaTrader 5 run the setup. Then add PredictIndicators to your BTCUSD chart. How to install →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.