MACD prediction vs outcome — BTCUSD, 1 minute chart, September 27, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 27, 2026, 11:46 AM to 12:15 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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On September 27, 2026 at 11:46 AM ET, MACD on the BTCUSD 1 minute chart read 0.674617. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:15 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-28.26-10.387.492Sep 27, 11:46 AM ET12:15 PM ET
Projected MACD path, 30 bars from 11:46 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-28.26-10.387.492Sep 27, 11:46 AM ET12:15 PM ET
Recorded MACD values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:46 AM ET0.674617
Projected value at 12:15 PM ET-1.58915
Actual value at 12:15 PM ET2.52376
Projected change across the window-2.26377
Actual change across the window+1.84915
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading19 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.22×

Reading this window

The projection called for MACD to fall, while it rose instead. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.22 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 19 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 28 (12:13 PM ET), where they sat 0.592853 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (11:46 AM ET) with a gap of 31.3352. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 13 (11:59 AM ET), a move of +4.25064. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:47 AM-30.62150.499618+31.1211
611:52 AM-21.196-8.15596+13.04
1211:58 AM-12.3569-4.12681+8.23005
1812:04 PM-7.645539.68147+17.327
2412:10 PM-4.85388-3.60698+1.24689
2912:15 PM-1.589152.52376+4.11291

About MACD on a 1 minute chart

MACD tracks the distance between two exponential moving averages of price; the line above moves as that distance widens or narrows. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

Download MT5 AI MACD Yes. Alongside the regular MACD, PredictIndicators shows where the MACD is predicted to go next on BTCUSD, updated as each bar closes, in NinjaTrader 8 and MT5. MACD indicator for NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 →

Future candle indicator for BTCUSD in NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 PredictIndicators is a next candle prediction indicator: it draws the predicted next candles of BTCUSD, up to 30 bars ahead, on your NinjaTrader 8 or MetaTrader 5 chart and redraws them as each bar closes. Next candle prediction indicator →

NinjaTrader trend direction prediction with DI for BTCUSD Yes. PredictIndicators runs inside NinjaTrader 8: the predicted BTCUSD candles and the predicted indicators sit on your own chart, next to the indicators you already use. NinjaTrader 8 price prediction indicator →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.