MACD prediction vs outcome — BTCUSD, 1 minute chart, September 27, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 27, 2026, 8:05 AM to 8:34 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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Educational purposes only — predictions are not certainties or financial advice.

On September 27, 2026 at 8:05 AM ET, MACD on the BTCUSD 1 minute chart read 61.5224. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 8:34 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

7.78332.9658.14Sep 27, 8:05 AM ET8:34 AM ET
Projected MACD path, 30 bars from 8:05 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

7.78332.9658.14Sep 27, 8:05 AM ET8:34 AM ET
Recorded MACD values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 8:05 AM ET61.5224
Projected value at 8:34 AM ET4.40164
Actual value at 8:34 AM ET10.5817
Projected change across the window-57.1208
Actual change across the window-50.9407
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.12×

Reading this window

The projection called for MACD to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.12 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 29 (8:33 AM ET), where they sat 5.45884 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (8:05 AM ET) with a gap of 43.2262. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 17 (8:22 AM ET), a move of -5.35391. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
18:06 AM19.122659.3913+40.2687
68:11 AM18.851147.9069+29.0558
128:17 AM13.858636.1221+22.2634
188:23 AM9.4375925.2524+15.8148
248:29 AM6.2980118.2223+11.9243
298:34 AM4.4016410.5817+6.18004

About MACD on a 1 minute chart

MACD tracks the distance between two exponential moving averages of price; the line above moves as that distance widens or narrows. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

Free trial AI MACD for NinjaTrader 8 Yes. Alongside the regular MACD, PredictIndicators shows where the MACD is predicted to go next on BTCUSD, updated as each bar closes, in NinjaTrader 8 and MT5. MACD indicator for NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 →

NinjaTrader AI predictive indicator for BTCUSD PredictIndicators draws the predicted next 30 candles of BTCUSD on your NinjaTrader 8 chart, to the right of the last bar, and updates them in real time. They are predictions, not certainties. NinjaTrader 8 price prediction indicator →

Next candle prediction indicator for MT5 on BTCUSD PredictIndicators is a next candle prediction indicator: it draws the predicted next candles of BTCUSD, up to 30 bars ahead, on your NinjaTrader 8 or MetaTrader 5 chart and redraws them as each bar closes. Next candle prediction indicator →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.