MACD prediction vs outcome — BTCUSD, 1 minute chart, September 27, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 27, 2026, 1:54 AM to 2:23 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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Educational purposes only — predictions are not certainties or financial advice.

On September 27, 2026 at 1:54 AM ET, MACD on the BTCUSD 1 minute chart read 47.9482. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:23 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-5.65219.4644.58Sep 27, 1:54 AM ET2:23 AM ET
Projected MACD path, 30 bars from 1:54 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-5.65219.4644.58Sep 27, 1:54 AM ET2:23 AM ET
Recorded MACD values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:54 AM ET47.9482
Projected value at 2:23 AM ET-8.48014
Actual value at 2:23 AM ET8.07118
Projected change across the window-56.4283
Actual change across the window-39.877
Bars moving the same direction22 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.42×

Reading this window

The projection called for MACD to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.42 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 76% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 18 (2:11 AM ET), where they sat 0.540802 apart, and furthest at bar 4 (1:58 AM ET) with a gap of 42.4471. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 5 (1:59 AM ET), a move of -6.85318. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:55 AM7.8402946.1703+38.33
62:00 AM-2.8777131.7754+34.6531
122:06 AM-6.740279.53694+16.2772
182:12 AM-8.58995-7.91345+0.676501
242:18 AM-8.99953-0.639981+8.35955
292:23 AM-8.480148.07118+16.5513

About MACD on a 1 minute chart

MACD tracks the distance between two exponential moving averages of price; the line above moves as that distance widens or narrows. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

Download MetaTrader artificial intelligence MACD Yes. Alongside the regular MACD, PredictIndicators shows where the MACD is predicted to go next on BTCUSD, updated as each bar closes, in NinjaTrader 8 and MT5. MACD indicator for NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 →

How to import a NinjaTrader 8 indicator for BTCUSD Download PredictIndicators for your platform, activate the 3 day free licence and add it to your BTCUSD chart: the predicted candles appear right away. How to install →

MetaTrader price prediction candlesticks for BTCUSD Yes. The same PredictIndicators predictions run on MetaTrader 5 charts, with one licence covering MT5 and NinjaTrader 8. MetaTrader 5 price prediction indicator →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.