MACD prediction vs outcome — BTCUSD, 1 minute chart, September 26, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 26, 2026, 11:19 PM to 11:48 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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Educational purposes only — predictions are not certainties or financial advice.

On September 26, 2026 at 11:19 PM ET, MACD on the BTCUSD 1 minute chart read 21.568. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:48 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-3.5828.20219.99Sep 26, 11:19 PM ET11:48 PM ET
Projected MACD path, 30 bars from 11:19 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-3.5828.20219.99Sep 26, 11:19 PM ET11:48 PM ET
Recorded MACD values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:19 PM ET21.568
Projected value at 11:48 PM ET-2.21089
Actual value at 11:48 PM ET6.67545
Projected change across the window-23.7789
Actual change across the window-14.8926
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.60×

Reading this window

The projection called for MACD to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.60 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 22 (11:40 PM ET), where they sat 2.53946 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (11:19 PM ET) with a gap of 24.7964. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 19 (11:38 PM ET), a move of -3.9553. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:20 PM-3.8501418.3672+22.2174
611:25 PM-5.1644912.1321+17.2966
1211:31 PM-4.272749.30175+13.5745
1811:37 PM-3.881638.31961+12.2012
2411:43 PM-2.784526.32552+9.11004
2911:48 PM-2.210896.67545+8.88634

About MACD on a 1 minute chart

MACD tracks the distance between two exponential moving averages of price; the line above moves as that distance widens or narrows. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

See live indicator predictions on PredictIndicators.ai →

Questions traders ask

Download MT5 predictive AI MACD Yes. Alongside the regular MACD, PredictIndicators shows where the MACD is predicted to go next on BTCUSD, updated as each bar closes, in NinjaTrader 8 and MT5. MACD indicator for NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 →

NinjaTrader AI indicator performance tracking for BTCUSD A prediction is an estimate, not a certainty. PredictIndicators publishes its predicted values next to what the market actually did, so they can be checked before relying on them. Predictions vs what happened →

Is there an indicator that predicts the next BTCUSD candle? PredictIndicators is a next candle prediction indicator: it draws the predicted next candles of BTCUSD, up to 30 bars ahead, on your NinjaTrader 8 or MetaTrader 5 chart and redraws them as each bar closes. Next candle prediction indicator →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.