MACD prediction vs outcome — BTCUSD, 1 minute chart, September 26, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 26, 2026, 8:47 PM to 9:16 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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Educational purposes only — predictions are not certainties or financial advice.

On September 26, 2026 at 8:47 PM ET, MACD on the BTCUSD 1 minute chart read -40.9166. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 9:16 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-37.47-11.8513.78Sep 26, 8:47 PM ET9:16 PM ET
Projected MACD path, 30 bars from 8:47 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-37.47-11.8513.78Sep 26, 8:47 PM ET9:16 PM ET
Recorded MACD values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 8:47 PM ET-40.9166
Projected value at 9:16 PM ET11.0825
Actual value at 9:16 PM ET4.00137
Projected change across the window+51.9992
Actual change across the window+44.918
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.16×

Reading this window

The projection called for MACD to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.16 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 16 (9:02 PM ET), where they sat 0.175574 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (8:47 PM ET) with a gap of 51.3255. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 8 (8:55 PM ET), a move of +10.8082. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
18:48 PM10.912-35.4128-46.3248
68:53 PM13.8116-16.5579-30.3695
128:59 PM15.759316.1688+0.409505
189:05 PM16.577214.7778-1.79947
249:11 PM14.38397.09719-7.28675
299:16 PM11.08254.00137-7.08116

About MACD on a 1 minute chart

MACD tracks the distance between two exponential moving averages of price; the line above moves as that distance widens or narrows. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

See live indicator predictions on PredictIndicators.ai →

Questions traders ask

Buy NT8 artificial intelligence MACD Yes. Alongside the regular MACD, PredictIndicators shows where the MACD is predicted to go next on BTCUSD, updated as each bar closes, in NinjaTrader 8 and MT5. MACD indicator for NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 →

NinjaTrader are AI indicators useful for day trading for BTCUSD Yes. PredictIndicators runs inside NinjaTrader 8: the predicted BTCUSD candles and the predicted indicators sit on your own chart, next to the indicators you already use. NinjaTrader 8 price prediction indicator →

NT8 chart aware AI assistant for intraday futures The PredictIndicators chat indicator runs live on NinjaTrader 8 and MetaTrader 5 charts: ask about the BTCUSD chart, the predicted candles and the indicators, and the answer appears on the chart. AI chat indicator →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.