MACD prediction vs outcome — BTCUSD, 1 minute chart, September 26, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 26, 2026, 8:42 PM to 9:11 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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Educational purposes only — predictions are not certainties or financial advice.

On September 26, 2026 at 8:42 PM ET, MACD on the BTCUSD 1 minute chart read -25.0116. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 9:11 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-22.32-2.26917.78Sep 26, 8:42 PM ET9:11 PM ET
Projected MACD path, 30 bars from 8:42 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-22.32-2.26917.78Sep 26, 8:42 PM ET9:11 PM ET
Recorded MACD values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 8:42 PM ET-25.0116
Projected value at 9:11 PM ET13.1297
Actual value at 9:11 PM ET-0.1321
Projected change across the window+38.1413
Actual change across the window+24.8795
Bars moving the same direction23 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.53×

Reading this window

The projection called for MACD to rise across the window, and it rose. The projection overshot: it called for 1.53 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 79% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 9 (8:50 PM ET), where they sat 2.19171 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (8:42 PM ET) with a gap of 37.4583. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 3 (8:45 PM ET), a move of +10.8082. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
18:43 PM13.9079-16.5579-30.4659
68:48 PM18.361915.0216-3.34038
128:54 PM20.196815.77-4.42685
189:00 PM19.46737.79987-11.6674
249:06 PM16.23494.00137-12.2335
299:11 PM13.1297-0.1321-13.2618

About MACD on a 1 minute chart

MACD tracks the distance between two exponential moving averages of price; the line above moves as that distance widens or narrows. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

See live indicator predictions on PredictIndicators.ai →

Questions traders ask

Download MT5 predictive AI MACD Yes. Alongside the regular MACD, PredictIndicators shows where the MACD is predicted to go next on BTCUSD, updated as each bar closes, in NinjaTrader 8 and MT5. MACD indicator for NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 →

How to install an indicator in MetaTrader 5 for Bitcoin In NinjaTrader 8 import the zip with Tools → Import → NinjaScript Add On; in MetaTrader 5 run the setup. Then add PredictIndicators to your BTCUSD chart. How to install →

NT8 AI prediction performance chart A prediction is an estimate, not a certainty. PredictIndicators publishes its predicted values next to what the market actually did, so they can be checked before relying on them. Predictions vs what happened →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.