MACD prediction vs outcome — BTCUSD, 1 minute chart, September 7, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 7, 2026, 2:35 PM to 3:04 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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Educational purposes only — predictions are not certainties or financial advice.

On September 7, 2026 at 2:35 PM ET, MACD on the BTCUSD 1 minute chart read -79.8837. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 3:04 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-79.78-40.98-2.173Sep 7, 2:35 PM ET3:04 PM ET
Projected MACD path, 30 bars from 2:35 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-79.78-40.98-2.173Sep 7, 2:35 PM ET3:04 PM ET
Recorded MACD values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 2:35 PM ET-79.8837
Projected value at 3:04 PM ET3.03869
Actual value at 3:04 PM ET-10.0907
Projected change across the window+82.9224
Actual change across the window+69.7931
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading26 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.19×

Reading this window

The projection called for MACD to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.19 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 26 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 21 (2:55 PM ET), where they sat 0.817767 apart, and furthest at bar 2 (2:37 PM ET) with a gap of 69.4912. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 17 (2:52 PM ET), a move of +11.3401. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
12:36 PM-15.5969-84.2274-68.6305
62:41 PM-12.7113-75.1241-62.4128
122:47 PM-6.40788-52.684-46.2761
182:53 PM-3.1528-9.54141-6.38861
242:59 PM0.261667-1.99051-2.25218
293:04 PM3.03869-10.0907-13.1294

About MACD on a 1 minute chart

MACD tracks the distance between two exponential moving averages of price; the line above moves as that distance widens or narrows. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

Live confidence score MACD for NT8 Yes. Alongside the regular MACD, PredictIndicators shows where the MACD is predicted to go next on BTCUSD, updated as each bar closes, in NinjaTrader 8 and MT5. MACD indicator for NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 →

MT5 AI chart interpretation tool The PredictIndicators chat indicator runs live on NinjaTrader 8 and MetaTrader 5 charts: ask about the BTCUSD chart, the predicted candles and the indicators, and the answer appears on the chart. AI chat indicator →

How do I add the BTCUSD prediction indicator in NinjaTrader 8? Download PredictIndicators for your platform, activate the 3 day free licence and add it to your BTCUSD chart: the predicted candles appear right away. How to install →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.