MACD prediction vs outcome — BTCUSD, 1 minute chart, September 5, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 5, 2026, 6:15 PM to 6:44 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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Questions NinjaTrader 8 and MetaTrader 5 traders ask

Futures NinjaTrader On NinjaTrader 8, PredictIndicators.ai draws predicted candlesticks and indicators 30 bars into the future, right on your charts. NinjaTrader 8 guide →

MetaTrader 4 MT4 download PredictIndicators.ai runs on MetaTrader 5 and NinjaTrader 8, not MetaTrader 4 — indicators built for one do not run on the other. Most brokers offer the same account in MetaTrader 5. MT4 vs MT5 guide →

Forex MT5 On MetaTrader 5, PredictIndicators.ai draws predicted candlesticks and indicators 30 bars into the future, right on your charts. MetaTrader 5 guide →

Educational purposes only — predictions are not certainties or financial advice.

On September 5, 2026 at 6:15 PM ET, MACD on the BTCUSD 1 minute chart read 13.9182. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 6:44 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-1.01412.1225.25Sep 5, 6:15 PM ET6:44 PM ET
Projected MACD path, 30 bars from 6:15 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-1.01412.1225.25Sep 5, 6:15 PM ET6:44 PM ET
Recorded MACD values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 6:15 PM ET13.9182
Projected value at 6:44 PM ET3.2859
Actual value at 6:44 PM ET-2.77787
Projected change across the window-10.6323
Actual change across the window-16.6961
Bars moving the same direction22 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading18 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.64×

Reading this window

The projection called for MACD to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.64 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 76% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 18 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 17 (6:31 PM ET), where they sat 0.51183 apart, and furthest at bar 4 (6:19 PM ET) with a gap of 18.9637. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 2 (6:17 PM ET), a move of +6.10311. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
16:16 PM7.3493917.2265+9.87716
66:21 PM8.2210722.9742+14.7531
126:27 PM7.0922614.3002+7.20789
186:33 PM5.627398.96358+3.33619
246:39 PM4.699733.11525-1.58448
296:44 PM3.2859-2.77787-6.06377

About MACD on a 1 minute chart

MACD tracks the distance between two exponential moving averages of price; the line above moves as that distance widens or narrows. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

See live indicator predictions on PredictIndicators.ai →

Questions traders ask

Free trial AI MACD for MetaTrader 5 Yes. Alongside the regular MACD, PredictIndicators shows where the MACD is predicted to go next on BTCUSD, updated as each bar closes, in NinjaTrader 8 and MT5. MACD indicator for NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 →

NT8 how is prediction accuracy measured for Bitcoin A prediction is an estimate, not a certainty. PredictIndicators publishes its predicted values next to what the market actually did, so they can be checked before relying on them. Predictions vs what happened →

How to import a NinjaTrader 8 indicator for BTCUSD In NinjaTrader 8 import the zip with Tools → Import → NinjaScript Add On; in MetaTrader 5 run the setup. Then add PredictIndicators to your BTCUSD chart. How to install →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.