MACD prediction vs outcome — BTCUSD, 1 minute chart, September 5, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 5, 2026, 4:03 PM to 4:32 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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Educational purposes only — predictions are not certainties or financial advice.

On September 5, 2026 at 4:03 PM ET, MACD on the BTCUSD 1 minute chart read -25.4274. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 4:32 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-24.88-6.77611.33Sep 5, 4:03 PM ET4:32 PM ET
Projected MACD path, 30 bars from 4:03 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-24.88-6.77611.33Sep 5, 4:03 PM ET4:32 PM ET
Recorded MACD values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 4:03 PM ET-25.4274
Projected value at 4:32 PM ET-2.37714
Actual value at 4:32 PM ET13.7629
Projected change across the window+23.0502
Actual change across the window+39.1902
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading28 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.59×

Reading this window

The projection called for MACD to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.59 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 28 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 4 (4:06 PM ET), where they sat 0.110049 apart, and furthest at bar 25 (4:28 PM ET) with a gap of 17.2851. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 8 (4:11 PM ET), a move of +8.93431. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
14:04 PM-27.0291-26.083+0.946099
64:09 PM-22.7414-20.7845+1.95689
124:15 PM-15.607-16.7864-1.17935
184:21 PM-10.0074-10.5904-0.582971
244:27 PM-6.149958.29611+14.4461
294:32 PM-2.3771413.7629+16.14

About MACD on a 1 minute chart

MACD tracks the distance between two exponential moving averages of price; the line above moves as that distance widens or narrows. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

Free trial artificial intelligence MACD for NinjaTrader Yes. Alongside the regular MACD, PredictIndicators shows where the MACD is predicted to go next on BTCUSD, updated as each bar closes, in NinjaTrader 8 and MT5. MACD indicator for NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 →

MetaTrader AI indicator accuracy for Bitcoin A prediction is an estimate, not a certainty. PredictIndicators publishes its predicted values next to what the market actually did, so they can be checked before relying on them. Predictions vs what happened →

Can ChatGPT read my BTCUSD chart in NinjaTrader 8? Yes. The chat indicator sits on your NinjaTrader 8 or MetaTrader 5 BTCUSD chart: ask where the prediction turns or what the open indicators agree on. It answers questions; it does not place trades. ChatGPT for NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.