Awesome Oscillator prediction vs outcome — E mini Russell 2000, 5 minute chart, November 13, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers November 13, 2026, 10:20 AM to 12:45 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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Educational purposes only — predictions are not certainties or financial advice.

On November 13, 2026 at 10:20 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E mini Russell 2000 5 minute chart read 5.23441. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:45 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-28.9-12.913.086Nov 13, 10:20 AM ET12:45 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 10:20 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-28.9-12.913.086Nov 13, 10:20 AM ET12:45 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:20 AM ET5.23441
Projected value at 12:45 PM ET-6.61088
Actual value at 12:45 PM ET-8.63971
Projected change across the window-11.8453
Actual change across the window-13.8741
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.85×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.85 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 28 (12:35 PM ET), where they sat 0.51766 apart, and furthest at bar 2 (10:30 AM ET) with a gap of 32.2293. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 7 (10:55 AM ET), a move of -3.455. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:25 AM-28.13223.94882+32.081
610:50 AM-30.5345-8.61265+21.9218
1211:20 AM-21.7527-19.5871+2.16563
1811:50 AM-12.5103-9.05412+3.4562
2412:20 PM-8.31356-3.65912+4.65445
2912:45 PM-6.61088-8.63971-2.02883

About Awesome Oscillator on a 5 minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 5 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 2.5 hours of trading, so the window above describes 2.5 hours of E mini Russell 2000 activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.