Awesome Oscillator prediction vs outcome — E mini Russell 2000, 5 minute chart, November 12, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers November 12, 2026, 12:21 PM to 2:46 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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Educational purposes only — predictions are not certainties or financial advice.

On November 12, 2026 at 12:21 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E mini Russell 2000 5 minute chart read 4.43118. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:46 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-2.5012.2947.088Nov 12, 12:21 PM ET2:46 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 12:21 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-2.5012.2947.088Nov 12, 12:21 PM ET2:46 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:21 PM ET4.43118
Projected value at 2:46 PM ET-0.990134
Actual value at 2:46 PM ET-3.14471
Projected change across the window-5.42131
Actual change across the window-7.57588
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading24 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.72×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.72 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 24 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 1 (12:21 PM ET), where they sat 0.0116999 apart, and furthest at bar 10 (1:11 PM ET) with a gap of 5.35506. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 27 (2:36 PM ET), a move of -1.30059. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:26 PM4.664165.06353+0.399372
612:51 PM4.551577.73176+3.18019
121:21 PM-0.01611814.67294+4.68906
181:51 PM0.7700633.12441+2.35435
242:21 PM-0.08537882.63029+2.71567
292:46 PM-0.990134-3.14471-2.15457

About Awesome Oscillator on a 5 minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 5 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 2.5 hours of trading, so the window above describes 2.5 hours of E mini Russell 2000 activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.