Awesome Oscillator prediction vs outcome — E mini Russell 2000, 30 minute chart, November 13, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers November 13, 2026, 11:20 AM to 1:50 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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Educational purposes only — predictions are not certainties or financial advice.

On November 13, 2026 at 11:20 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E mini Russell 2000 30 minute chart read -4.52059. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 1:50 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-4.107-1.0272.052Nov 13, 11:20 AM ET1:50 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:20 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-4.107-1.0272.052Nov 13, 11:20 AM ET1:50 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:20 AM ET-4.52059
Projected value at 1:50 AM ET2.46562
Actual value at 1:50 AM ET-0.0841176
Projected change across the window+6.98621
Actual change across the window+4.43647
Bars moving the same direction22 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.57×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The projection overshot: it called for 1.57 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 76% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 8 (2:50 PM ET), where they sat 0.169597 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (11:20 AM ET) with a gap of 4.02605. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 3 (12:50 PM ET), a move of +1.04412. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:50 AM-0.642295-3.93118-3.28888
62:20 PM-0.844486-0.563529+0.280957
125:20 PM-0.0923938-0.952353-0.859959
188:20 PM0.0893372-0.517059-0.606396
2411:20 PM1.24405-2.01706-3.26111
291:50 AM2.46562-0.0841176-2.54974

About Awesome Oscillator on a 30 minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 30 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 15 hours of trading, so the window above describes 15 hours of E mini Russell 2000 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.