Awesome Oscillator prediction vs outcome — E mini Russell 2000, 30 minute chart, November 12, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers November 12, 2026, 12:07 PM to 2:37 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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On November 12, 2026 at 12:07 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E mini Russell 2000 30 minute chart read -3.24059. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:37 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-5.388-2.846-0.3032Nov 12, 12:07 PM ET2:37 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 12:07 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-5.388-2.846-0.3032Nov 12, 12:07 PM ET2:37 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:07 PM ET-3.24059
Projected value at 2:37 AM ET-1.23855
Actual value at 2:37 AM ET-5.72971
Projected change across the window+2.00204
Actual change across the window-2.48912
Bars moving the same direction23 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading24 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.80×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise, while it fell instead. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.80 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 79% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 24 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 6 (2:37 PM ET), where they sat 0.263205 apart, and furthest at bar 29 (2:37 AM ET) with a gap of 4.49115. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 25 (12:37 AM ET), a move of -0.937059. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:37 PM-0.537634-2.71088-2.17325
63:07 PM-0.920811-1.32941-0.4086
126:07 PM-0.896818-2.19559-1.29877
189:07 PM-0.0446475-1.16912-1.12447
2412:07 AM-1.0407-2.30912-1.26842
292:37 AM-1.23855-5.72971-4.49115

About Awesome Oscillator on a 30 minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 30 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 15 hours of trading, so the window above describes 15 hours of E mini Russell 2000 activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.