Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 2-minute chart, September 30, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 30, 2026, 12:01 PM to 12:59 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 30, 2026 at 12:01 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 2-minute chart read 55.7441. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:59 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-30.713.6357.96Sep 30, 12:01 PM ET12:59 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 12:01 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-30.713.6357.96Sep 30, 12:01 PM ET12:59 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:01 PM ET55.7441
Projected value at 12:59 PM ET11.2907
Actual value at 12:59 PM ET-15.3713
Projected change across the window-44.4534
Actual change across the window-71.1154
Bars moving the same direction22 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading25 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.63×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.63 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 76% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 25 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 10 (12:19 PM ET), where they sat 1.62289 apart, and furthest at bar 22 (12:45 PM ET) with a gap of 53.3249. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 19 (12:39 PM ET), a move of -10.6507. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:03 PM24.103559.0522+34.9487
612:13 PM35.256149.1404+13.8843
1212:25 PM29.038421.3456-7.69285
1812:37 PM21.2107-9.48676-30.6975
2412:49 PM15.1716-32.9537-48.1253
2912:59 PM11.2907-15.3713-26.662

About Awesome Oscillator on a 2-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 2-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 1 hours of trading, so the window above describes 1 hours of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.