Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 2-minute chart, September 30, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 30, 2026, 11:57 AM to 12:55 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 30, 2026 at 11:57 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 2-minute chart read 61.8654. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:55 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-30.713.6357.96Sep 30, 11:57 AM ET12:55 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:57 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-30.713.6357.96Sep 30, 11:57 AM ET12:55 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:57 AM ET61.8654
Projected value at 12:55 PM ET-8.99242
Actual value at 12:55 PM ET-5.86397
Projected change across the window-70.8579
Actual change across the window-67.7294
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading28 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.05×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.05 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 28 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 29 (12:53 PM ET), where they sat 0.239911 apart, and furthest at bar 2 (12:01 PM ET) with a gap of 51.9021. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 17 (12:31 PM ET), a move of -10.6507. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:59 AM19.4363.9118+44.4818
612:09 PM1.646135.2449+33.5988
1212:21 PM-2.3624811.6022+13.9647
1812:33 PM-7.05246-27.3412-20.2887
2412:45 PM-8.69147-31.8603-23.1688
2912:55 PM-8.99242-5.86397+3.12844

About Awesome Oscillator on a 2-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 2-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 1 hours of trading, so the window above describes 1 hours of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.