Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 2-minute chart, September 30, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 30, 2026, 11:56 AM to 12:54 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 30, 2026 at 11:56 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 2-minute chart read 63.9118. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:54 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-30.713.6357.96Sep 30, 11:56 AM ET12:54 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:56 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-30.713.6357.96Sep 30, 11:56 AM ET12:54 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:56 AM ET63.9118
Projected value at 12:54 PM ET-8.99242
Actual value at 12:54 PM ET-5.11029
Projected change across the window-72.9042
Actual change across the window-69.0221
Bars moving the same direction22 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.06×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.06 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 76% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 28 (12:50 PM ET), where they sat 0.354972 apart, and furthest at bar 2 (12:00 PM ET) with a gap of 46.3051. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 16 (12:28 PM ET), a move of -10.6507. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:58 AM19.4362.9066+43.4766
612:08 PM1.646130.4007+28.7546
1212:20 PM-2.362487.38824+9.75072
1812:32 PM-7.05246-32.5735-25.5211
2412:44 PM-8.69147-26.6426-17.9512
2912:54 PM-8.99242-5.11029+3.88212

About Awesome Oscillator on a 2-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 2-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 1 hours of trading, so the window above describes 1 hours of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.