Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 2-minute chart, September 30, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 30, 2026, 11:52 AM to 12:50 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 30, 2026 at 11:52 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 2-minute chart read 57.3096. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:50 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-31.0910.3351.75Sep 30, 11:52 AM ET12:50 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:52 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-31.0910.3351.75Sep 30, 11:52 AM ET12:50 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:52 AM ET57.3096
Projected value at 12:50 PM ET16.247
Actual value at 12:50 PM ET-7.27794
Projected change across the window-41.0625
Actual change across the window-64.5875
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.64×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.64 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 3 (11:56 AM ET), where they sat 2.91445 apart, and furthest at bar 17 (12:26 PM ET) with a gap of 67.234. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 14 (12:20 PM ET), a move of -10.6507. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:54 AM27.617349.1404+21.5231
612:04 PM44.722826.3706-18.3522
1212:16 PM38.0122-0.727206-38.7394
1812:28 PM28.9746-35.2404-64.215
2412:40 PM19.2138-15.3713-34.5851
2912:50 PM16.247-7.27794-23.525

About Awesome Oscillator on a 2-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 2-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 1 hours of trading, so the window above describes 1 hours of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.