Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 2-minute chart, September 30, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 30, 2026, 9:27 AM to 10:25 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 30, 2026 at 9:27 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 2-minute chart read -1.73309. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 10:25 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-0.307810.320.92Sep 30, 9:27 AM ET10:25 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 9:27 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-0.307810.320.92Sep 30, 9:27 AM ET10:25 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 9:27 AM ET-1.73309
Projected value at 10:25 AM ET15.9927
Actual value at 10:25 AM ET19.839
Projected change across the window+17.7258
Actual change across the window+21.5721
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.82×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.82 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 3 (9:31 AM ET), where they sat 0.386743 apart, and furthest at bar 22 (10:11 AM ET) with a gap of 12.5442. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 1 (9:29 AM ET), a move of +5.64706. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
19:29 AM7.466043.91397-3.55207
69:39 AM9.3099218.9574+9.64744
129:51 AM10.412615.9522+5.53958
1810:03 AM9.6855922.1+12.4144
2410:15 AM10.664118.4331+7.76894
2910:25 AM15.992719.839+3.84622

About Awesome Oscillator on a 2-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 2-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 1 hours of trading, so the window above describes 1 hours of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.