Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 2-minute chart, September 30, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 30, 2026, 7:52 AM to 8:50 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 30, 2026 at 7:52 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 2-minute chart read -2.13382. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 8:50 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-35.31-18.72-2.141Sep 30, 7:52 AM ET8:50 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 7:52 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-35.31-18.72-2.141Sep 30, 7:52 AM ET8:50 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 7:52 AM ET-2.13382
Projected value at 8:50 AM ET-16.8911
Actual value at 8:50 AM ET-17.0765
Projected change across the window-14.7573
Actual change across the window-14.9426
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading26 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.99×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.99 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 26 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (8:50 AM ET), where they sat 0.185332 apart, and furthest at bar 3 (7:58 AM ET) with a gap of 16.9727. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 18 (8:28 AM ET), a move of -7.93529. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
17:54 AM-9.71697-2.32721+7.38977
68:04 AM-17.4122-3.01765+14.3945
128:16 AM-17.2161-5.82868+11.3874
188:28 AM-23.1886-32.6507-9.46214
248:40 AM-20.22-28.3507-8.13072
298:50 AM-16.8911-17.0765-0.185332

About Awesome Oscillator on a 2-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 2-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 1 hours of trading, so the window above describes 1 hours of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.