Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 2-minute chart, September 30, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 30, 2026, 2:12 AM to 3:10 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 30, 2026 at 2:12 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 2-minute chart read 31.9978. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 3:10 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-18.055.39928.85Sep 30, 2:12 AM ET3:10 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 2:12 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-18.055.39928.85Sep 30, 2:12 AM ET3:10 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 2:12 AM ET31.9978
Projected value at 3:10 AM ET-6.11812
Actual value at 3:10 AM ET-15.7537
Projected change across the window-38.1159
Actual change across the window-47.7515
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.80×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.80 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 22 (2:54 AM ET), where they sat 0.509947 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (2:12 AM ET) with a gap of 37.6179. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 19 (2:50 AM ET), a move of -4.29485. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
12:14 AM-6.0300529.8103+35.8403
62:24 AM-9.3347816.9956+26.3304
122:36 AM-11.32954.29853+15.628
182:48 AM-8.19269-0.716912+7.47578
243:00 AM-6.94001-11.8515-4.91146
293:10 AM-6.11812-15.7537-9.63556

About Awesome Oscillator on a 2-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 2-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 1 hours of trading, so the window above describes 1 hours of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.