Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 2-minute chart, September 29, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 29, 2026, 11:08 PM to 12:06 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 29, 2026 at 11:08 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 2-minute chart read 21.1081. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:06 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-29-5.04618.91Sep 29, 11:08 PM ET12:06 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:08 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-29-5.04618.91Sep 29, 11:08 PM ET12:06 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:08 PM ET21.1081
Projected value at 12:06 AM ET-9.90911
Actual value at 12:06 AM ET-6.00588
Projected change across the window-31.0172
Actual change across the window-27.114
Bars moving the same direction22 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading28 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.14×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.14 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 76% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 28 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 29 (12:04 AM ET), where they sat 0.07492 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (11:08 PM ET) with a gap of 26.3186. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 28 (12:04 AM ET), a move of +9.31397. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:10 PM-3.6440422.1294+25.7734
611:20 PM-5.293252.66912+7.96237
1211:32 PM-9.46678-18.1176-8.65087
1811:44 PM-11.3104-31.3868-20.0764
2411:56 PM-13.9653-31.0728-17.1075
2912:06 AM-9.90911-6.00588+3.90323

About Awesome Oscillator on a 2-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 2-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 1 hours of trading, so the window above describes 1 hours of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.