Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 2-minute chart, September 29, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 29, 2026, 11:04 PM to 12:02 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 29, 2026 at 11:04 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 2-minute chart read 21.8176. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:02 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-29.02-5.20118.62Sep 29, 11:04 PM ET12:02 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:04 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-29.02-5.20118.62Sep 29, 11:04 PM ET12:02 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:04 PM ET21.8176
Projected value at 12:02 AM ET-12.397
Actual value at 12:02 AM ET0.277206
Projected change across the window-34.2147
Actual change across the window-21.5404
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.59×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.59 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 7 (11:16 PM ET), where they sat 1.25525 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (11:04 PM ET) with a gap of 31.9094. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 26 (11:56 PM ET), a move of +9.31397. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:06 PM-10.586219.2779+29.8641
611:16 PM-8.86166-10.1169-1.25525
1211:28 PM-12.0691-22.5676-10.4985
1811:40 PM-12.5595-24.6199-12.0603
2411:52 PM-15.6471-27.611-11.9639
2912:02 AM-12.3970.277206+12.6742

About Awesome Oscillator on a 2-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 2-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 1 hours of trading, so the window above describes 1 hours of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.