Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 2-minute chart, September 8, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 8, 2026, 10:11 AM to 11:09 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 8, 2026 at 10:11 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 2-minute chart read -54.2456. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:09 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-99.5-46.127.261Sep 8, 10:11 AM ET11:09 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 10:11 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-99.5-46.127.261Sep 8, 10:11 AM ET11:09 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:11 AM ET-54.2456
Projected value at 11:09 AM ET6.1263
Actual value at 11:09 AM ET10.9154
Projected change across the window+60.3719
Actual change across the window+65.161
Bars moving the same direction22 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading24 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.93×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.93 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 76% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 24 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 18 (10:45 AM ET), where they sat 1.0639 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (10:11 AM ET) with a gap of 52.4237. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 6 (10:23 AM ET), a move of +10.0228. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:13 AM-102.547-54.7375+47.8099
610:23 AM-78.1556-30.3904+47.7651
1210:35 AM-37.8895-42.5875-4.69797
1810:47 AM-14.0352-10.8301+3.20502
2410:59 AM-0.6474895.64044+6.28793
2911:09 AM6.126310.9154+4.78914

About Awesome Oscillator on a 2-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 2-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 1 hours of trading, so the window above describes 1 hours of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.