Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 2-minute chart, September 8, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 8, 2026, 10:09 AM to 11:07 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 8, 2026 at 10:09 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 2-minute chart read -54.7375. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:07 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-98.21-45.437.343Sep 8, 10:09 AM ET11:07 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 10:09 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-98.21-45.437.343Sep 8, 10:09 AM ET11:07 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:09 AM ET-54.7375
Projected value at 11:07 AM ET-1.10109
Actual value at 11:07 AM ET7.46471
Projected change across the window+53.6364
Actual change across the window+62.2022
Bars moving the same direction22 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading23 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.86×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.86 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 76% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 23 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 16 (10:39 AM ET), where they sat 1.52454 apart, and furthest at bar 6 (10:21 AM ET) with a gap of 55.1476. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 5 (10:19 AM ET), a move of +10.0228. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:11 AM-104.343-56.0985+48.2449
610:21 AM-77.6704-22.5228+55.1476
1210:33 AM-39.1188-43.3007-4.18196
1810:45 AM-11.2672-7.39485+3.87236
2410:57 AM-4.838459.78309+14.6215
2911:07 AM-1.101097.46471+8.56579

About Awesome Oscillator on a 2-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 2-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 1 hours of trading, so the window above describes 1 hours of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.