Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 2-minute chart, September 8, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 8, 2026, 8:21 AM to 9:19 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 8, 2026 at 8:21 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 2-minute chart read 30.0816. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 9:19 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-25.413.83933.08Sep 8, 8:21 AM ET9:19 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 8:21 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-25.413.83933.08Sep 8, 8:21 AM ET9:19 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 8:21 AM ET30.0816
Projected value at 9:19 AM ET1.76834
Actual value at 9:19 AM ET-17.4279
Projected change across the window-28.3133
Actual change across the window-47.5096
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading22 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.60×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.60 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 22 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 15 (8:49 AM ET), where they sat 0.551901 apart, and furthest at bar 1 (8:23 AM ET) with a gap of 32.3159. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 10 (8:41 AM ET), a move of -5.97206. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
18:23 AM0.17898532.4949+32.3159
68:33 AM9.5186236.164+26.6453
128:45 AM6.3113111.3963+5.08501
188:57 AM2.20623-5.90441-8.11064
249:09 AM1.74927-28.7596-30.5088
299:19 AM1.76834-17.4279-19.1963

About Awesome Oscillator on a 2-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 2-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 1 hours of trading, so the window above describes 1 hours of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.