Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 2-minute chart, September 8, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 8, 2026, 8:20 AM to 9:18 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 8, 2026 at 8:20 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 2-minute chart read 32.4949. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 9:18 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-25.413.83933.08Sep 8, 8:20 AM ET9:18 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 8:20 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-25.413.83933.08Sep 8, 8:20 AM ET9:18 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 8:20 AM ET32.4949
Projected value at 9:18 AM ET1.76834
Actual value at 9:18 AM ET-13.2235
Projected change across the window-30.7265
Actual change across the window-45.7184
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading23 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.67×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.67 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 23 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 14 (8:46 AM ET), where they sat 0.0536617 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (8:20 AM ET) with a gap of 34.7052. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 9 (8:38 AM ET), a move of -5.97206. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
18:22 AM0.17898534.6537+34.4747
68:32 AM9.5186236.7243+27.2056
128:44 AM6.311317.60956+1.29825
188:56 AM2.20623-11.0294-13.2356
249:08 AM1.74927-29.3346-31.0838
299:18 AM1.76834-13.2235-14.9919

About Awesome Oscillator on a 2-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 2-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 1 hours of trading, so the window above describes 1 hours of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.