Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 2-minute chart, September 8, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 8, 2026, 8:10 AM to 9:08 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 8, 2026 at 8:10 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 2-minute chart read 36.164. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 9:08 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-25.423.69532.81Sep 8, 8:10 AM ET9:08 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 8:10 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-25.423.69532.81Sep 8, 8:10 AM ET9:08 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 8:10 AM ET36.164
Projected value at 9:08 AM ET-0.456869
Actual value at 9:08 AM ET4.34853
Projected change across the window-36.6208
Actual change across the window-31.8154
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.15×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.15 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 9 (8:26 AM ET), where they sat 1.13819 apart, and furthest at bar 19 (8:48 AM ET) with a gap of 33.1881. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 4 (8:18 AM ET), a move of -5.97206. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
18:12 AM12.134836.7243+24.5895
68:22 AM6.9425811.3963+4.45375
128:34 AM5.32881-5.90441-11.2332
188:46 AM4.04554-28.7596-32.8051
248:58 AM0.361095-13.2235-13.5846
299:08 AM-0.4568694.34853+4.8054

About Awesome Oscillator on a 2-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 2-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 1 hours of trading, so the window above describes 1 hours of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.