Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 2-minute chart, September 8, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 8, 2026, 8:06 AM to 9:04 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 8, 2026 at 8:06 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 2-minute chart read 34.6471. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 9:04 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-25.552.65630.86Sep 8, 8:06 AM ET9:04 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 8:06 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-25.552.65630.86Sep 8, 8:06 AM ET9:04 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 8:06 AM ET34.6471
Projected value at 9:04 AM ET-1.55502
Actual value at 9:04 AM ET12.05
Projected change across the window-36.2021
Actual change across the window-22.5971
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.60×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.60 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 5 (8:14 AM ET), where they sat 0.950747 apart, and furthest at bar 17 (8:40 AM ET) with a gap of 34.9895. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 2 (8:10 AM ET), a move of -5.97206. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
18:08 AM16.145628.8801+12.7345
68:18 AM11.19545.54853-5.64685
128:30 AM8.37301-16.1618-24.5348
188:42 AM4.93417-29.2588-34.193
248:54 AM0.846169-5.96103-6.8072
299:04 AM-1.5550212.05+13.605

About Awesome Oscillator on a 2-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 2-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 1 hours of trading, so the window above describes 1 hours of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.