Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 2-minute chart, September 8, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 8, 2026, 6:33 AM to 7:31 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 8, 2026 at 6:33 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 2-minute chart read 40.2103. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 7:31 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

0.520519.1237.71Sep 8, 6:33 AM ET7:31 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 6:33 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

0.520519.1237.71Sep 8, 6:33 AM ET7:31 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 6:33 AM ET40.2103
Projected value at 7:31 AM ET-0.33031
Actual value at 7:31 AM ET13.9926
Projected change across the window-40.5406
Actual change across the window-26.2176
Bars moving the same direction22 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.55×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.55 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 76% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 29 (7:29 AM ET), where they sat 10.5537 apart, and furthest at bar 3 (6:39 AM ET) with a gap of 24.3752. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 25 (7:23 AM ET), a move of -4.97279. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
16:35 AM16.927939.5993+22.6714
66:45 AM6.5066728.0912+21.5845
126:57 AM2.3575316.7529+14.3954
187:09 AM2.0981120.8051+18.707
247:21 AM0.044602419.6272+19.5826
297:31 AM-0.3303113.9926+14.323

About Awesome Oscillator on a 2-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 2-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 1 hours of trading, so the window above describes 1 hours of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.