Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 2-minute chart, September 8, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 8, 2026, 5:09 AM to 6:07 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 8, 2026 at 5:09 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 2-minute chart read 36.3772. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 6:07 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

5.86420.9135.96Sep 8, 5:09 AM ET6:07 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 5:09 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

5.86420.9135.96Sep 8, 5:09 AM ET6:07 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 5:09 AM ET36.3772
Projected value at 6:07 AM ET3.84287
Actual value at 6:07 AM ET14.2243
Projected change across the window-32.5343
Actual change across the window-22.1529
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading28 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.47×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.47 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 28 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 10 (5:27 AM ET), where they sat 9.65724 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (5:09 AM ET) with a gap of 32.001. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 29 (6:07 AM ET), a move of -6.25441. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
15:11 AM9.4788837.7684+28.2895
65:21 AM14.129626.736+12.6065
125:33 AM12.665925.4919+12.826
185:45 AM9.0831126.4537+17.3706
245:57 AM7.185333.4493+26.264
296:07 AM3.8428714.2243+10.3814

About Awesome Oscillator on a 2-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 2-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 1 hours of trading, so the window above describes 1 hours of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.