Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 2-minute chart, September 8, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 8, 2026, 2:54 AM to 3:52 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 8, 2026 at 2:54 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 2-minute chart read -22.3537. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 3:52 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-20.31-5.11110.09Sep 8, 2:54 AM ET3:52 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 2:54 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-20.31-5.11110.09Sep 8, 2:54 AM ET3:52 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 2:54 AM ET-22.3537
Projected value at 3:52 AM ET-1.74589
Actual value at 3:52 AM ET12.1309
Projected change across the window+20.6078
Actual change across the window+34.4846
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.60×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.60 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 11 (3:14 AM ET), where they sat 1.95851 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (2:54 AM ET) with a gap of 27.7239. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 11 (3:16 AM ET), a move of +4.86765. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
12:56 AM1.25992-19.8963-21.1562
63:06 AM-3.9705-14.6904-10.7199
123:18 AM0.1178964.45956+4.34166
183:30 AM-0.185399.34485+9.53024
243:42 AM-2.737336.15441+8.89174
293:52 AM-1.7458912.1309+13.8768

About Awesome Oscillator on a 2-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 2-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 1 hours of trading, so the window above describes 1 hours of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.