Awesome Oscillator prediction vs outcome — E mini Nasdaq 100, 1 minute chart, October 16, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 16, 2026, 11:33 AM to 12:02 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 16, 2026 at 11:33 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E mini Nasdaq 100 1 minute chart read -15.95. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:02 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-20.76-1.85617.05Oct 16, 11:33 AM ET12:02 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:33 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-20.76-1.85617.05Oct 16, 11:33 AM ET12:02 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:33 AM ET-15.95
Projected value at 12:02 PM ET-22.9476
Actual value at 12:02 PM ET-23.2978
Projected change across the window-6.99759
Actual change across the window-7.34779
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading25 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.95×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.95 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 25 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 29 (12:01 PM ET), where they sat 0.305999 apart, and furthest at bar 11 (11:44 AM ET) with a gap of 33.6785. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 21 (11:54 AM ET), a move of -7.25809. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:34 AM-8.94957-11.8412-2.89161
611:39 AM-4.350041.54265+5.89269
1211:45 AM-18.232512.6191+30.8516
1811:51 AM2.08919.3706+17.2816
2411:57 AM-11.0596-12.0699-1.01023
2912:02 PM-22.9476-23.2978-0.350208

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1 minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.