Awesome Oscillator prediction vs outcome — E mini Nasdaq 100, 1 minute chart, October 14, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 14, 2026, 1:35 PM to 2:04 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 14, 2026 at 1:35 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E mini Nasdaq 100 1 minute chart read -12.8529. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:04 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-32.9-17.51-2.124Oct 14, 1:35 PM ET2:04 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 1:35 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-32.9-17.51-2.124Oct 14, 1:35 PM ET2:04 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:35 PM ET-12.8529
Projected value at 2:04 PM ET-21.5285
Actual value at 2:04 PM ET-26.5331
Projected change across the window-8.67554
Actual change across the window-13.6801
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading18 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.63×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.63 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 18 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 15 (1:49 PM ET), where they sat 0.00521792 apart, and furthest at bar 23 (1:58 PM ET) with a gap of 22.1411. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 16 (1:51 PM ET), a move of +7.44044. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:36 PM-29.3174-10.2919+19.0255
61:41 PM-20.652-7.13603+13.516
121:47 PM-25.898-27.8059-1.9079
181:53 PM-7.2878-1.71985+5.56795
241:59 PM-29.9295-11.3846+18.5449
292:04 PM-21.5285-26.5331-5.0046

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1 minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.