Awesome Oscillator prediction vs outcome — E mini Nasdaq 100, 1 minute chart, October 7, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 7, 2026, 3:05 PM to 3:34 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 7, 2026 at 3:05 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E mini Nasdaq 100 1 minute chart read -1.84338. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 3:34 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-25.68-3.55918.57Oct 7, 3:05 PM ET3:34 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 3:05 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-25.68-3.55918.57Oct 7, 3:05 PM ET3:34 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 3:05 PM ET-1.84338
Projected value at 3:34 PM ET-10.7405
Actual value at 3:34 PM ET13.9382
Projected change across the window-8.89708
Actual change across the window+15.7816
Bars moving the same direction22 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading18 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.56×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall, while it rose instead. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.56 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 76% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 18 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 13 (3:17 PM ET), where they sat 1.091 apart, and furthest at bar 23 (3:28 PM ET) with a gap of 36.9386. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 8 (3:13 PM ET), a move of -6.87353. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
13:06 PM-19.3311-4.90074+14.4304
63:11 PM-27.3204-6.24559+21.0749
123:17 PM-28.1491-27.0581+1.091
183:23 PM-20.4247-1.68676+18.738
243:29 PM-14.199520.7618+34.9613
293:34 PM-10.740513.9382+24.6787

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1 minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.