Awesome Oscillator prediction vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, October 7, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 7, 2026, 6:23 AM to 6:52 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 7, 2026 at 6:23 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -7.96324. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 6:52 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-11.67-4.2583.152Oct 7, 6:23 AM ET6:52 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 6:23 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-11.67-4.2583.152Oct 7, 6:23 AM ET6:52 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 6:23 AM ET-7.96324
Projected value at 6:52 AM ET-1.40474
Actual value at 6:52 AM ET4.14706
Projected change across the window+6.55849
Actual change across the window+12.1103
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading21 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.54×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.54 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 21 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 9 (6:31 AM ET), where they sat 0.0346612 apart, and furthest at bar 16 (6:39 AM ET) with a gap of 6.28344. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 21 (6:44 AM ET), a move of +2.67353. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
16:24 AM-11.7317-7.84191+3.8898
66:29 AM-9.34768-10.2353-0.887612
126:35 AM-9.24553-9.31691-0.0713781
186:41 AM-5.54596-11.8-6.25404
246:47 AM-3.05098-0.0713235+2.97966
296:52 AM-1.404744.14706+5.5518

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.