Awesome Oscillator prediction vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, October 7, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 7, 2026, 1:55 AM to 2:24 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 7, 2026 at 1:55 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -7.00074. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:24 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-8.0490.49129.032Oct 7, 1:55 AM ET2:24 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 1:55 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-8.0490.49129.032Oct 7, 1:55 AM ET2:24 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:55 AM ET-7.00074
Projected value at 2:24 AM ET3.20076
Actual value at 2:24 AM ET-1.85
Projected change across the window+10.2015
Actual change across the window+5.15074
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading24 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.98×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The projection overshot: it called for 1.98 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 24 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 25 (2:19 AM ET), where they sat 0.043483 apart, and furthest at bar 4 (1:59 AM ET) with a gap of 9.92623. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 10 (2:05 AM ET), a move of +3.28529. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:56 AM1.42655-7.90294-9.32949
62:01 AM1.59142-6.56838-8.15981
122:07 AM3.062557.67794+4.61539
182:13 AM2.251858.60368+6.35183
242:19 AM2.482992.52647+0.043483
292:24 AM3.20076-1.85-5.05076

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.