Awesome Oscillator prediction vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, October 7, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 7, 2026, 12:51 AM to 1:20 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 7, 2026 at 12:51 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -5.60074. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 1:20 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-4.7021.9898.679Oct 7, 12:51 AM ET1:20 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 12:51 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-4.7021.9898.679Oct 7, 12:51 AM ET1:20 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:51 AM ET-5.60074
Projected value at 1:20 AM ET3.32514
Actual value at 1:20 AM ET6.98088
Projected change across the window+8.92588
Actual change across the window+12.5816
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.71×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.71 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 6 (12:56 AM ET), where they sat 0.0651123 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (12:51 AM ET) with a gap of 8.18167. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 1 (12:52 AM ET), a move of +3.90735. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:52 AM3.45048-1.69338-5.14387
612:57 AM5.089384.92353-0.165854
121:03 AM5.461818.48088+3.01907
181:09 AM4.722017.77647+3.05446
241:15 AM4.009538.27206+4.26253
291:20 AM3.325146.98088+3.65574

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.