Awesome Oscillator prediction vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, October 6, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 6, 2026, 11:47 PM to 12:16 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 6, 2026 at 11:47 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -4.59191. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:16 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-8.964-1.5755.815Oct 6, 11:47 PM ET12:16 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:47 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-8.964-1.5755.815Oct 6, 11:47 PM ET12:16 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:47 PM ET-4.59191
Projected value at 12:16 AM ET2.80037
Actual value at 12:16 AM ET6.32426
Projected change across the window+7.39228
Actual change across the window+10.9162
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading18 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.68×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.68 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 18 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 17 (12:03 AM ET), where they sat 0.567487 apart, and furthest at bar 9 (11:56 PM ET) with a gap of 10.115. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 14 (12:01 AM ET), a move of +2.68235. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:48 PM0.878109-4.47721-5.35531
611:53 PM-0.352532-9.24412-8.89159
1211:59 PM0.46149-7.51985-7.98134
1812:05 AM1.041423.3+2.25858
2412:11 AM2.294035.78382+3.4898
2912:16 AM2.800376.32426+3.5239

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.