Awesome Oscillator prediction vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, October 6, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 6, 2026, 9:52 PM to 10:21 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 6, 2026 at 9:52 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 4.64191. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 10:21 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-8.393-0.70856.976Oct 6, 9:52 PM ET10:21 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 9:52 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-8.393-0.70856.976Oct 6, 9:52 PM ET10:21 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 9:52 PM ET4.64191
Projected value at 10:21 PM ET-1.80356
Actual value at 10:21 PM ET8.00809
Projected change across the window-6.44547
Actual change across the window+3.36618
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading26 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.91×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall, while it rose instead. The projection overshot: it called for 1.91 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 26 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 20 (10:11 PM ET), where they sat 1.46671 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (9:52 PM ET) with a gap of 14.0157. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 24 (10:16 PM ET), a move of +2.39412. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
19:53 PM-9.212993.76176+12.9748
69:58 PM-8.83863-2.24044+6.59819
1210:04 PM-9.33102-2.32206+7.00896
1810:10 PM-6.31387-4.36397+1.9499
2410:16 PM-3.366391.40147+4.76786
2910:21 PM-1.803568.00809+9.81165

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.